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Dairy Crisis

Market-Driven Inventory System (MDIS)

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Click here to read the full report from the MDIS study (Updated April 2, 2012)

Click here to read the testimony from NFU President Roger Johnson to the U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry (Updated March 15, 2012)

Click here to read the special order of business adopted at the NFU convention (Updated March 22, 2012)

Click here to download Phase II Executive Summary (Updated March 5, 2012)

In the current economic climate amid a growing budget deficit, federal spending on agriculture programs will likely be cut and the next farm bill will likely face significant funding reductions. The goal of the next farm bill, therefore, should be to provide an effective safety net for family farmers, improve the efficiency of existing programs and reduce overall costs. This study, conducted by the University of Tennessee’s Agricultural Policy Analysis Center and commissioned by National Farmers Union, presents an alternative policy approach that will reduce overall farm payments. The policy approach includes a combination of farmer-owned reserves, increased loan rates, set-asides, the elimination of direct payments, and reduced reliance on other government payment instruments. The policy will be referred to in this report as Market-Driven Inventory System (MDIS). The study examines what the effects of MDIS would have been during the period from 1998 to 2010.

Who benefits from  MDIS?

Farmers: MDIS helps smooth out some of the wild price swings that can put some farmers out of business. By providing a greater level of income certainty, MDIS helps farmers plan for
the future without decreasing farm income.

Livestock Producers: Less volatile commodity prices from the MDIS helps livestock producers keep input costs more stable and helps to prevent skyrocketing grain prices, which can bankrupt livestock producers.

Ethanol Industry: Rising commodity prices are damaging to the ethanol industry and can cause disruptions in the supply chain. MDIS decreases price fluctuation faced by ethanol plants and ensures more stable production, which in turn puts America on the road to energy independence.

The Impoverished: Particularly in developing nations, a small increase in commodity prices can mean the difference between putting food on the table and going hungry. MDIS reduces the price swings that cause many people to go hungry when they can no longer afford food.

Taxpayers: A study conducted by the University of Tennessee and funded by National Farmers Union found that, had MDIS been in place from 1998-2010 rather than the existing programs, taxpayers would have saved more than $95 billion compared to what the federal government actually spent on farm programs. This is nearly a 60 percent reduction in expenditures.

MDIS is WTO Blue Box compliant. This system could be implemented with other farm programs such as permanent disaster programs, crop insurance, etc.

Other Farmers Union priorities for the Commodity Title of the 2012 Farm Bill:

  • Maintain strong crop insurance provisions and expand the number of products eligible for coverage
  • Eliminate direct payments
  • Provide long-term market-driven solutions for a positive outcome across all agriculture sectors

Government Payments to Farmers, 1998-2010

MDIS_-_Govt_Payments_Past2

  • Throughout the study period, government payments for crops totaled $152.2 billion. If farmer-owned reserves had been in place during those years, government payments would have been $56.4 billion, or less than 40 percent of what the U.S. government actually spent on crop programs in those years.

  • Farmer-owned reserves would have provided nearly the same amount of net farm income.

  • Government costs would have been lower in large part because the loan rate would have been paid on only the portion of the crop that was put into farmer-owned reserves and not on every bushel that was produced.

  • Over the complete study period, the value of exports would have been $4.9 billion higher with farmer-owned reserves in place than under historical conditions for that period.

  • Because the U.S. would have held some buffer stocks under farmer-owned reserve policies, importers of U.S. corn, wheat and soybeans would have been assured of a stable supply of storable commodities, reducing the need for countries to protect local supplies of grains.

  • Farmers would have benefited from price signals that more accurately reflect the supply/demand situation at a given time, than when futures prices reflect herd-following speculative behavior on the part of some market participants.

  • Livestock producers and industrial users such as biofuels producers are vulnerable to rapidly increasing prices. Farmer-owned reserve policies would have provided livestock producers and industrial users with security in the availability of feed supplies and the range of prices they can expect.

  • For the entire 13-year period, the value of production under the baseline policies was $413 billion while with farmer-owned reserves it would have been $446 billion – a difference of $2.6 billion a year.

  • Over the entire study period, corn prices would have averaged $0.26 higher, wheat prices would have been $0.48 higher, and soybean prices would have averaged $1.09 per bushel more under farmer-owned reserves than they actually were.

Click here to read the Phase I report (updated 2-22-12)

Click here to download a PDF of the key findings from Phase I (updated 2-22-12)